New paper asserts atmospheric H2O modulates incoming solar energy and is a negative feedback

Semi-retired physicist Dr. Daniel M. Sweger has been a research scientist at NIST, where he was active in a variety of research areas, including cryogenic thermometry, solid state and nuclear physics, and molecular spectroscopy.

His new paper, Earth’s Climate Engine (876 Kb PDF)  is now available for discussion.

From the Executive Summary:

… While models can be useful, the results must be compared to actual measurements, i.e. data. Data is the language of science, but little has been done in that regard with the climate change models.

It is the premise of the author that water vapor is the dominant influence in determining and understanding global climate. Water vapor is much more abundant in the atmosphere than carbon dioxide, and its physical properties make it more important as well. During daylight hours it moderates the sun’s energy, at night it acts like a blanket to slow the loss of heat, and it carries energy from the warm parts of the earth to the cold. Compared to that, if carbon dioxide has any effect it must be negligible. Thus, the purpose of this paper is to explore the effect of water vapor on climate.

Detailed calculations and analysis of data from several locations clearly demonstrate that the effect of water vapor on temperature dominates any proposed effect of carbon dioxide. Furthermore, it is clear from the data presented that water vapor acts with a negative feedback on temperature, not a positive one. That is, the data demonstrate that increasing the level of water vapor in the atmosphere results in a decrease of temperature, not an increase as predicted by the climate models. In essence, atmospheric water vapor acts as a thermostat.

These results call into question the validity of using the results of the current general climate change models, particularly as the basis for policy decision making.

3 responses to “New paper asserts atmospheric H2O modulates incoming solar energy and is a negative feedback

  1. Alan D McIntire

    It’s common sense that water in its three components- solid, liquid, gas- is the principal controller of weather on Earth.

  2. It is even admitted by the warmists that water vapor is the major “greenhouse” gas. What I found most interesting is the proof of negative feedback. The only way models can be made to predict dangerous warming is by the invention of positive feedback. Negative feedback is proven here by relatively simple atmospheric physics and observations, not requiring millions of man hours and billions of dollars spent on computers and modeling software.

  3. Why hasn’t this lucid paper been highlighted more ? He offers physics together with calculations from theory that pair closely with data.

    He uses this argument to propose what is a self evident theory when one reads the paper.

    This paper should be easy to debunk scientifically if it is not correct.

    What is funny to my mind is the illustration “Energy balance from IPCC AR4 FAQ, Figure 1” where they claim “back radiation” is almost equal to the incoming solar radiation. This nonsense is adequately destroyed by this paper.

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