Daily Archives: August 5, 2011

Arctic ice not so tipsy – UN finds reasons to panic

Large variations in Arctic sea ice
Polar ice much less stable than previously thought

For the last 10,000 years, summer sea ice in the Arctic Ocean has been far from constant. For several thousand years, there was much less sea ice in The Arctic Ocean – probably less than half of current amounts. This is indicated by new findings by the Danish National Research Foundation for Geogenetics at the University of Copenhagen. The results of the study will be published in the journal Science.

Sea ice comes and goes without leaving a record. For this reason, our knowledge about its variations and extent was limited before we had satellite surveillance or observations from airplanes and ships. But now researchers at the Danish National Research Foundation for Geogenetics at the Natural History Museum of Denmark (University of Copenhagen) have developed a method by which it is possible to measure the variations in the ice several millennia back in time.

The results are based on material gathered along the coast of northern Greenland, which scientists expect will be the final place summer ice will survive, if global temperatures continue to rise.

This means that the results from northern Greenland also indicate what the conditions are like in the ocean. (EurekAlert)

Arctic Ice ‘Tipping Point’ Unlikely To Be Reached Soon

The Danish National Research Foundation for Geogenetics at the University of Copenhagen has announced that for several thousand years, there was much less sea ice in The Arctic Ocean – probably less than half of current amounts.

The research team says the findings indicate that even with a reduction to less than 50% of the current amount of sea ice the ice will not reach a point of no return: a level where the ice no longer can regenerate itself even if the climate was to return to cooler temperatures.

The researchers who published their study in the journal Science, developed a method measuring the variations in the ice several millennia back in time. (Irish Weather Online)

Arctic ‘tipping point’ may not be reached
(Matt McGrath, BBC World Service)

4 Reasons We Should Be Worried About July’s Near Record-Breaking Sea Ice Melt
August 4, 2011
Emily Loftis

The National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) just released figures for July’s arctic sea ice averages. The bad news: Last month’s average arctic sea ice extent is the second-greatest loss of summer sea ice since satellite tracking began in 1979.

Arctic sea ice extent basically measures how far sea ice stretches over the Earth’s surface. It includes any satellite data cell with a surface that is 15% ice (opposed to cells that have less surface ice and more water). In case you want to geek out further on the definition and process of these measurements, the NSIDC fleshes it out here. (It should also be noted that sea ice is not the same as glaciers, icebergs, or other frozen masses that float in the ocean. Sea ice is simply frozen ocean water, and is usually covered with snow.)

Though the impact of the disappearing ice is much more extensive than the short list below, here are a few effects that have manifested as of late: (UN Dispatch)

East African droughts and floods due to global warming – over last 20,000 years

East Africa’s climate under the spell of El Niño since the last Ice Age

Floods and droughts in East Africa are often unleashed by far-away events in the tropical Pacific—the warm (El Niño) or cool (La Niña) phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). A catastrophic drought is currently wreaking havoc in wide regions of Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti and Somalia, affecting food security and putting millions of people in urgent need of assistance. Scientists have attributed the severe drying to La Niña conditions that prevailed from June 2010 to May 2011 in the Pacific.

The waxing and waning of rainfall in eastern tropical Africa in unison with ENSO is nothing unusual and existed already 20,000 years ago, according to a study published in the August 5 issue of Science by a group of scientists from Germany, Switzerland, the US, the Netherlands, and Belgium. (EurekAlert)

Roger Pielke Sr. on paying attention to data rather than dodgy models

Another Scientifically Flawed Claim Of Skillful Multi-Decadal Regional Climate Predictions – This Time It Is In The Intermountain West Climate Summary

We have documented in our paper

Pielke Sr., R.A., R. Wilby, D. Niyogi, F. Hossain, K. Dairuku, J. Adegoke, G. Kallos, T. Seastedt, and K. Suding, 2011: Dealing with complexity and extreme events using a bottom-up, resource-based vulnerability perspective. AGU Monograph on Complexity and Extreme Events in Geosciences, in press.

that regionally downscaled forecasts from global multi-decadal climate model predcitions have no skill beyond whatever is in the parent global model. I summarized the issues with dynamical regional downscaling in my post

The Failure Of Dynamic Downscaling As Adding Value to Multi-Decadal Regional Climate Prediction (Roger Pielke Sr.)

An Application Of The Use Of The Historical Climate Record To Assess Extreme Events By John Neilsen-Gammon

From Climate Abyss

In our papers and posts (e.g. see) we have urged

“There are 5 broad areas that we can use to define the need for vulnerability assessments : water, food, energy, [human] health and ecosystem function. Each area has societally critical resources. The vulnerability concept requires the determination of the major threats to these resources from climate, but also from other social and environmental issues. After these threats are identified for each resource, then the relative risk from natural- and human-caused climate change [from] (estimated from the GCM projections, but also the historical [record], paleo-record and worst case sequences of events) can be compared with other risks in order to adopt the optimal mitigation/adaptation strategy.”

There is an excellent example of the approach of using ”the historical” record to assess risk to these resources which has appeared on John Neilsen-Gammon weblog Climate Abyss titled

Texas Drought: A Fingerprint (Roger Pielke Sr.)

Environmental posers

The Latest Green Badge of Courage
by WILLIAM YEATMAN on AUGUST 4, 2011

I would loathe global warming alarmists less if I could find one who is willing to walk the walk. For example, I would like Al Gore, if he lived like a pauper. I wouldn’t agree with him, but I would respect him. Instead, he preaches sacrifice for the world, while he lives the life of a glutton. That’s annoying.

I think that Mr. Gore’s two-faced approach to the “climate crisis,” as he calls it, is indicative of the green movement as a whole. To be precise, middle and upper class white Americans want “to do something” about the supposed problem of climate change, but they don’t want to be the ones to do it. Instead, they want “polluters” to pay, apparently not realizing that they themselves are the “polluters.”

Rather than actual privation on behalf the climate, it seems to me that environmentalists are more interested in purchasing green badges of courage. These are ostentatious environmentalist wares that broadcast to the world their owners’ support for the idea of fighting climate change, and in this manner, they substitute for actually fighting climate change. After all, it’s much easier to support the principle of an energy tax, than it is to pay more for gasoline. A green badge of courage alleviates the compunction that environmentalists feel when they consider their own patterns of conspicuous consumption. (Cooler Heads)

Biodegradability – it’s a gas

Study: Biodegradable plastics could worsen global warming
By Helen Chappell

RALEIGH, N.C. — New plastics designed to break down naturally have been hailed as environmentally friendly alternatives to traditional plastics. Instead of taking decades or even centuries to decompose, they vanish in a few years.

But new research at North Carolina State University suggests they may not be so green after all.

The study, led by NCSU doctoral student James Levis, found that biodegradable plastics can release large amounts of methane gas when they break down in landfills. Methane is one of the most problematic greenhouse gases, able to trap much more heat than carbon dioxide, making it a major contributor to global warming. (McClatchy-Tribune News Service)

Another cow fart joke

Garlic-fed cows combat global warming

Reducing farm animals’ wind by adding garlic to feed could substantially reduce greenhouse emissions, according to research by West Wales’ scientists featured by Euronews. (EurActiv)

There’s an odor about this, too

Pew, What’s That Smell?
Donna Laframboise
August 4, 2011

According to its website, the Pew Environment Group is on a mission. Its purpose is:

saving the natural environment and protecting the rich array of life it supports. Our aim is to strengthen environmental policies and practices…and mobilize public support for their implementation. [bold added]

In other words, it’s an environmental advocacy outfit. Its entire purpose is to draw more attention to environmental concerns. Of all the problems and issues out there (from inadequate inner-city schools, to horrible diseases desperate for research funding, to the wrongfully convicted), this organization thinks the environment is top-of-the-list.

There’s nothing wrong with that. Per se. But what happens when a group with a political agenda becomes a persistent source of funding for a particular category of scientists? Say scientists whose specialty is the oceans and marine life. Say via a program that has been running for more than 20 years – long enough to have influenced an entire generation of research?

Allow me to introduce you to the Pew Fellows Program in Marine Conservation. Researchers lucky enough to be named a Pew Fellow receive $150,000. (No Consensus)

Luboš Motl on separating forcings from feedbacks

Can one sharply separate forcings and feedbacks?

Andrew Dessler is employed as a climate alarmist in Texas (at Texas A&M).

He recently expressed his opinion about the new paper by Spencer and Braswell (reactions in the media via Google News). According to Dessler, the “paper is not really intended for other scientists, since they do not take him seriously anymore (he’s been wrong too many times).”

Dessler himself who is never wrong (except when he speaks or writes) addresses his results to other scientists which is why he sent his reaction concerning Spencer’s and Braswell’s paper to Think Progress, a community server of militant Marxist guerillas.

I wonder whether he can see the irony. My guess is that he can’t. Yesterday, alarmist Alexander Ač didn’t manage to identify that a report about Bernanke in the pub came from the Onion and he presented it on his blog as real news. ;-)  (The Reference Frame)

Uh-oh! Temperature controls CO2 levels

Blockbuster: Planetary temperature controls CO2 levels — not humans

There goes another “fingerprint”…

It’s not just that man-made emissions don’t control the climate, they don’t even control global CO2 levels.

Judging by the speech  gave at the Sydney Institute, there’s a blockbuster paper coming soon.

Listen to the speech: “Global Emission of Carbon Dioxide: The Contribution from Natural Sources”

Professor Murry Salby is Chair of Climate Science at Macquarie University. He’s been a visiting professorships at Paris, Stockholm, Jerusalem, and Kyoto, and he’s spent time at the Bureau of Meterology in Australia.

Over the last two years he has been looking at C12 and C13 ratios and CO2 levels around the world, and has come to the conclusion that man-made emissions have only a small effect on global CO2 levels. It’s not just that man-made emissions don’t control the climate, they don’t even control global CO2 levels. (Jo Nova)

EPA fails in the one place they might have done some good

There is simply no excuse for stealing an environmental resource and burying it for no purpose. The EPA should be protecting the environment from this stupid activity by all means possible.

EPA seeks to ease carbon storage barriers
By Ben Geman

The Environmental Protection Agency is floating plans to advance carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies by exempting underground sequestration from hazardous waste rules.

The agency noted Thursday that it has already issued rules to govern underground carbon dioxide injection under the Safe Drinking Water Act, and the exemption from a separate law — the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act — is meant to ensure regulatory certainty. (E2 Wire)

US worries about energy security, ironically at risk purely due to decades of whacko obstructionism while Australia looks to profit mightily from good old American know-how

Gas ‘fracking’ foes weigh toxics lawsuit if EPA petition fails
By Ben Geman

Environmentalists battling the controversial natural-gas drilling method “hydraulic fracturing” are eyeing a multi-front battle to force new chemical testing and disclosure rules under the principal federal toxics law.

Green groups formally petitioned the Environmental Protection Agency on Thursday to craft new rules under the Toxic Substances Control Act (TSCA).

But the advocates — who fear oil-and-gas drilling chemicals pollute groundwater and risk public health — also say they’re ready to litigate if the petition fails. (E2 Wire)

US Chamber warns of growing energy security risk
Continue reading

“Global warming” doesn’t kill – global warming hysteria most certainly does

Wind Power Death Parade Morbidly Marches on
by WILLIAM YEATMAN on AUGUST 4, 2011

There are many reasons to dislike wind power. For some people, giant wind turbines mar scenic vistas. Others don’t like it because it’s an unreliable, expensive source of electricity. I hate it reflexively, because the government forces us to use it, but that’s only an ancillary explanation of my anti-wind beliefs. To me, wind power is most objectionable because it kills things that I enjoy, like human beings.

Yesterday, the Los Angeles Times reported that there were 281 occupational health “incidents” in the wind power industry last year. Since the late 1970s, wind power has killed 78 people. It is ironic, in the Alanis Morissettian sense of the word, that global warming has yet to kill anyone, but wind power—a global warming “solution”—has taken out nearly 4 score humans. (Cooler Heads)

A decline in greenie jobs

Canada to slash environment jobs, critics fume

Canada’s environment ministry will cut or reassign around 10 percent of its workers, unions said Thursday, prompting fears that services like weather forecasting and environmental protection will suffer.

Officials said the move was designed to help eliminate the budget deficit. Critics said it underscored what they portray as the right-leaning Conservative government’s contempt for the environment.

The cuts are part of a government plan to find C$4 billion ($4.1 billion) a year in savings by 2014-15 from an envelope of C$80 billion, or about 5 percent.

The two unions representing workers at Environment Canada said they had been told this week that 300 employees would lose their jobs while a further 450 or so would be reassigned. (Reuters)

Monsanto launching its first biotech sweet corn

Monsanto launching its first biotech sweet corn

Monsanto Co. is preparing to launch a genetically altered sweet corn, marking the global seed company’s first commercial combination of its biotechnology with a consumer-oriented vegetable product.

The sweet corn seed, which will be available to farmers this fall, has been genetically altered to tolerate treatment of Monsanto’s Roundup herbicide, and to fight off insects that might attack the plants, said Consuelo Madere, Monsanto vice president of the company’s global vegetable business.

The “triple-stack” sweet corn is aimed at the fresh market, a relatively small market sector with total U.S. plantings of about 250,000 acres, said Madere. She declined to say how large of a launch the company was making, only to say it would be “very, very small.”

Though this is Monsanto’s first biotech vegetable launch, Madere said other companies have already brought genetically altered vegetables to market and she did not anticipate significant consumer backlash. (Reuters)