There is a new paper published which raises further questions on the robustness of multi-decadal global climate predictions. It is
Spencer, R.W.; Braswell, W.D. On the Misdiagnosis of Surface Temperature Feedbacks from Variations in Earth’s Radiant Energy Balance. Remote Sens. 2011, 3, 1603-1613.
The University of Alabama has issues a news release on it which reads: (Roger Pielke Sr.)
Posted in Cap and tax
Czech leader Vaclav Klaus rails against carbon tax
Joe Kelly
THE President of the Czech Republic has likened climate change to a totalitarian philosophy similar to Communism which will inhibit democratic freedoms.
President Vaclav Klaus used an address at the National Press Club in Canberra today to attack the “arrogance” of global warming advocates and warned of the futility of trying to fight the climate.
Mr Klaus said supporters of climate change action sought to suppress the free market, dictate prices and exert greater control over society. He said those who had not experienced life under a centrally planned communist regime did not place the same premium on freedom.
“We experienced communism, central planning and all kinds of attempts to organise the society from above. I feel obliged to warn against the arguments and ambitions which sound very similar to those we had to resist decades ago,” he said. (The Australian)
Posted in Climate change
CERN: CLOUD: Jasper Kirkby’s talk in Canada
As far as I remember, this 65-minute talk by Jasper Kirkby that he gave on March 23rd, 2011 at SFU in Vancouver hasn’t been embedded on TRF pages yet. Here it is:
Kirkby is the lead scientist in the CERN’s CLOUD experiment that was scheduled to release the final papers within a month or so from now but a political intervention could affect the timing as well. He’s been focusing on cosmoclimatology for something like a decade. (The Reference Frame)
In 1988 I wrote the book chapter
Pielke, R.A., 1988: Evaluation of climate change using numerical models. In “Monitoring Climate for the Effects of Increasing Greenhouse Gas Concentrations. Proceedings of a Workshop”. R.A. Pielke and T. Kittel, Eds., Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA), Fort Collins, Colorado, August 1987, 161-172.
Included in the text is
“The dynamic accuracy of GCM models have not been adequately tested. Such models need to be used to predict short-term weather changes since skill at such forecasts is essential if the models are to demonstrate a numerical fidelity in simulating wave-wave interactions. If the GCMs have insufficient spatial resolution or physics to forecast weather as accurately as current operational weather numerical weather prediction models, what confidence should be placed on their skill at predicting long-term climate change?”
Now, finally in 2011, a paper examines part of this issue, although it equates high spatial resolution and lower spatial resolution model runs at two different 25 year time slices with an actual scientific test of climate change, when observations are not, of course, available to test their results decades from now. It is an informative study, however, on the effect of model resolution for the time period of 1979 to 2003. (Roger Pielke Sr.)
Posted in Climate change
Editorial
State-of-the-Art Climate Models and Extreme Meteorological Events and Consequences: Some choice remarks on the ability of the former to correctly simulate the latter are provided by Kevin Trenberth.
Journal Reviews
Surface Melting and the Dynamics of the Greenland Ice Sheet: Does warming-induced surface melting lead to enhanced ice sheet movement towards the sea?
A Multi-Century History of Forest Fires in Central Siberia: Have fires in the region become more numerous in response to the global warming experienced since the end of the Little Ice Age?
Early Life Stages of Shrimp and Mussels in Low pH Seawater: Do the shellfish exhibit more-than-normal difficulties that portend further problems while progressing towards maturity?
Synergistic Effects of Heat and Other Stresses on Coral Larvae Survival: Just how important are the manynon-heat-induced threats to their survival?
Climate Change and Marine Productivity: A new review of the subject suggests that just the opposite of what climate alarmists tend to predict about the future may well come to pass instead.
Ocean Acidification Database
The latest addition of peer-reviewed data archived to our database of marine organism responses to atmospheric CO2 enrichment is Purple Sea Urchin [Paracentrotus lividus]. To access the entire database,click here.
Plant Growth Database
Our latest results of plant growth responses to atmospheric CO2 enrichment obtained from experiments described in the peer-reviewed scientific literature are: Blue Grama (Augustine et al., 2011) and Western Wheatgrass (Augustine et al., 2011).
Medieval Warm Period Project
Was there a Medieval Warm Period? YES, according to data published by 998 individual scientists from 573 research institutions in 43 different countries … and counting! This issue’s Medieval Warm Period Record comes from Castilla-León, Northern Spain. To access the entire Medieval Warm Period Project’s database, click here.
World Temperatures Database
Back by popular demand and upgraded to allow patrons more choices to plot and view the data, we reintroduce the World Temperatures section of our website. Here, users may plot temperatures for the entire globe or regions of the globe. A newly added feature allows patrons the ability to plot up to six independent datasets on the same graph. Try it today. World Temperatures Database. (co2science.org)
Halfway through 2011, the year-to-date (January-June) average temperature for the United States is just 0.15°F above the long-term (20th century) average. Although it is certainly too soon to say for sure (especially considering that a good portion of the country has been stuck in an extended heat wave), there is a good case to be made that when the final numbers are in at the end of December, that 2011 will go down as another in a recent string (which now stands at three years and counting) of rather unremarkable years when it comes to the national annual average temperature. This run of near-normal years is growing evidence that the collection of relatively warm years experienced in the U.S. from 1998-2007 neither represented a new climate state in the U.S. nor a sustained uptick in the rate of warming which could be reliably extrapolated into the future.
Over at MasterResource.org, Chip Knappenberger elucidates why this is the case—catching us up on the temperatures thus far in 2011 and reviewing the recent behavior of the U.S. annual average temperature record. (WCR)
Posted in Climate
Our Feedback Diagnosis Paper is Published Today
July 25th, 2011 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.
On the Misdiagnosis of Surface Temperature Feedbacks from Variations in Earth’s Radiant Energy Balance was published today in the journal, Remote Sensing, and a pdf is available. I discussed the findings here. (Roy W. Spencer)
Posted in Climate change, Research
Loehle and Scafetta calculate 0.66°C/century for AGW
Guest post by Craig Loehle and Nicolas Scafetta
Human Effect on Climate Clearly Detected (but is 0.66 deg C/100yr since ~1950!)
Loehle, C. and N. Scafetta. 2011. Climate Change Attribution Using Empirical Decomposition of Historical Time Series. Open Atmospheric Science Journal 5:74-86.
The study is available via free open access at http://benthamscience.com/open/toascj/articles/V005/74TOASCJ.htm (links to full paper and supplemental information, both PDF, follow at the end of this post)
How do we detect the influence of humans on the climate system? Current methods based on climate models are unfortunately circular: their estimate of human effects is only valid if the models are correct, but the models make certain assumptions and also are fitted to the historical temperature record. A model-independent estimate of climate response is needed and is provided by this study. (WUWT)
Posted in Climate
Comments On The Article “Stratospheric Pollution Helps Slow Global Warming” By David Biello
There is yet another article that documents that the role of humans in the climate system is much more than the radiative effect of CO2 and a few other gases (h/t to Marc Morano). This new study bolsters our conclusions in
Pielke Sr., R., K. Beven, G. Brasseur, J. Calvert, M. Chahine, R. Dickerson, D. Entekhabi, E. Foufoula-Georgiou, H. Gupta, V. Gupta, W. Krajewski, E. Philip Krider, W. K.M. Lau, J. McDonnell, W. Rossow, J. Schaake, J. Smith, S. Sorooshian, and E. Wood, 2009: Climate change: The need to consider human forcings besides greenhouse gases. Eos, Vol. 90, No. 45, 10 November 2009, 413. Copyright (2009) American Geophysical Union
The Scientific American article, however, still misinterprets climate system heat changes (and climate change more generally) as dominated by added CO2. (Roger Pielke Sr.)
Posted in Climate
Amid opposition from conservatives, businesses defend greenhouse-gas accord
By Andrew Restuccia
More than 200 businesses urged a handful of governors Monday to remain committed to a regional cap-and-trade program even as it comes under attack from conservative groups. (E2 Wire)
Slim chance of global carbon market post Kyoto
Tim Wilson
IRRESPECTIVE of whether Julia Gillard succeeds in selling her carbon tax plan to the public, eight months before the next federal election the policy and political foundations for its introduction will dissolve.
Posted in Cap and tax, Green scams
India Opposes Western Climate Hype
Monday, 25 July 2011 06:16 Hindustan Times
With rumbling increasing over climate issues, India has thwarted the latest attempt of rich nations to discuss climate change issues outside United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and UN general assembly. United States and European nations wanted the issue of climate change to be discussed in the UN Security Council saying the global warming can pose threat to international peace and security.
Posted in Climate change
Chris Huhne orders inquiry into fossil fuel lobby influence over Tory MEPs
Groups may have swung crucial vote on ambitious carbon target, says energy and climate change minister (Damian Carrington and Fiona Harvey, Guardian)
Climate change, fake charities, Nazis and Chris Huhne
By Daniel Hannan
Posted in Activists, Climate change, Enviros, Green scams, Propaganda
Cue greenie hand wringers protesting the “global warming” potential of this effort to trigger a “methane burp” (an alleged cause of previous age warming).
Japan To Drill Seabed For Methane Hydrate
Monday, 25 July 2011 13:59 Discovery News
Japan will seek to extract natural gas from seabed deposits of methane hydrate, also known as “burning ice,” in the world’s first such offshore experiment, a news report said Monday.
The test is scheduled for a stretch of ocean southwest of Tokyo, between Shizuoka and Wakayama prefectures, over several weeks in the fiscal year to March 2013, the Nikkei financial daily said.
The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry is preparing to request more than 10 billion yen ($127.5 million) for the project, the report said. (GWPF)
Posted in Energy
UK Faces Anti-Green Backlash As Energy Prices Rise
Monday, 25 July 2011 04:59 Reuters
The British government faces a public backlash against its green energy agenda as consumers are unwilling to spend more on power and gas bills to pay for investment in low-carbon forms of energy, a parliamentary committee warned on Monday.
“Our evidence points to the danger of a backlash against the government’s green agenda if it means rising bills for consumers,” the Energy and Climate Change Select Committee said in a report.
It urged the government and the energy industry to better engage with the public to explain underlying factors that create higher energy prices. (GWPF)
Posted in Crazy carbon schemes, Energy, Wind
On Green Hell Blog On JunkScience.com On Corporate Energy Subsidies
